POLICY CHANGE & DISCOURSE
Please do not hesitate to contact me, if you would like a copy of any working paper.
Elite Discourse, the Policy Process, & Policy Change
Greene, Jon, Jared Edgerton, Daniel Naftel, Kelsey Shoub, and Skyler Cranmer. 2020. "Elusive Consensus: Polarization in Elite Communication on the COVID-19 Pandemic." Science Advances.
[Article] [Replication Materials]
"Politicizing and Polarizing the Pandemic Pinned America as Global Epicenter"by Hannah Osborne in Newsweek
Research in Progress
Blum, Rachel, Lindsey Cormack and Kelsey Shoub. "Conditional Communication: How Members of Congress Use Public Facing Communication." Under Review. [Paper]
Shoub, Kelsey, Craig Volden, Alan Wiseman. "The Distorted Image and Voice of Congress."
Shoub, Kelsey, Lindsey Cormack, and Rachel Blum. "The Medium Shapes the Measure?: Examining Variation in Public Discussion about COVID-19 & Police Violence across Mediums by Members of Congress."
Kelsey Shoub. Shifting Frames, Shifting Policy: How Discourse Influences Policy Change. Book project in progress.
Does and why does policy discussion influence and inform policy decisions and outcomes? I propose that the construction of policy discussion through the selection of frames shapes the considerations of those evaluating proposed policy changes. To describe the policy discussion, the frame set---the summary of the frames used to discussed the issue---can be examined. By focusing on the composition of the discussion, I shift the focus from the use of individual frames and their characteristics to the concept of the "frame set." Then I posit and show that as the frame set changes more, policy change is more likely to occur. To test these propositions, I first focus on policy change (i.e., bill passage) in Congress using machine learning and text analysis techniques to develop new measures of policy change and change in the frame set. This allows for a test within a specific venue of policy change and across policy areas. Then, I focus on a set of criminal justice areas --- the death penalty, immigration, and policing -- to show that the same, fundamental pattern is observed across venues and levels of government. Data for two of these chapters come from established studies that measure frames in distinct ways: Baumgartner, Deoef, and Boydstun's 2008 book and the Media Frames Corpus. This allows me to additionally show that these results are robust to how I measure frames on the Congressional floor.
Olivella, Santiago and Kelsey Shoub. "Machine Learning in Political Science: Supervised Learning Models." Chapter in The Handbook of Research Methods in Political Science and International Relations. ed. Robert J Franzese Jr. & Luigi Curini in Sage's handbook series.
Baumgartner, Frank and Kelsey Shoub. "Population Dynamics and Representation." in The Organization Ecology of Interest Communities: Assessment and Agenda, eds. David Lowery, Virginia Gray, and Darren Halpin. London: Palgrave, 2015, pp 203-224.